Grey County Update: Water and Oil Through you honourable | 1being

Grey County Update: Water and Oil

Through you honourable Warden Milne,

As the indigenous say "Ho'oponopono" or "I'm sorry. I love you. Please forgive me. Thanks."

Congratulations to Senior Planner Scott Taylor with his promotion to a Provincial Advisory position. Briefly wanted to mention that to boost water provision, given our shallow soils and karst, we can promote rain catchment and cistern systems, which are often even more economical than wells, and are adaptable to most places in Ontario. By being leaders of rain catchment water cisterns with filtration, could become leaders of innovation and become key suppliers for the possible opening of Ontario's lands, as land prices continue to be a problem for Canadians, even if land prices improve significantly such as due to a Provincial Land Protection Act, that makes land affordable. With Eugenia hydropower we will be key industrial suppliers in Grey County.

Also met with international advisors Simon Michaux and Steve St. Angelo this week (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CDwbygJMEyw ), one of the most compelling takeaways was this years report from Exxon Mobil (second largest oil company in the world). In particular this part of their executive summary:

Screenshot 2024-10-10 at 21-07-47 2024 ExxonMobil Global Outlook Executive Summary - global-outlook-executive-summary.pdf.png https://corporate.exxonmobil.com/-/media/global/files/global-outlook/2024/global-outlook-executive-summary.pdf they go on to say "Our Outlook reflects oil production naturally declining at a rate of about 15% per year. ".

With only having discovered 10% of the new oil as we need last year, we could start seeing declines within the next few years.

So if we do experience for example even a single year of such 15% oil decrease and a 400% increase in price of oil. That would mean:

Five fold increase in price of daily commute (from $4.80 to $24)
Grocery item prices may increase 10-50%
Consumer goods 5-30%
Could increase demand on natural gas, increasing gas prices 50%
Electricity prices would increase 20%
Unemployment and homelessness would increase

Now notably, that would be just for one year, with every subsequent year having similar increases until we transition off fossil fuels. We have not experienced an oil supply decline since 1970's oil embargo, not sure how many Councillors remember that one, so it's not very comparable. However out of comparables we did experience an oil demand decline in the COVID era that led to demand destruction induced supply decline, By March 2022, food prices had increased by about 33% compared to March 2020. So we could experience similar price increase "shocks" but year after year.

The Housing Report today had an interesting graphic:

Screenshot 2024-10-10 at 23-23-58 Comprehensive Housing Strategy Request for Proposal Status Update - Appendix 1a TBM Staff Report B-2-2-FAF-24-009-Comprehensive-Housing-Strategy-Request-atus-Update.pdf.png

From far away where I was sitting, it seemed that the Homeless part was like a tiny home, on a rural estate with sufficient space to grow their own food and firewood, in which case I was thinking that is an ideal setting.

What an interesting time to be alive! On the bright side, more people may become interested in growing their own food, and we may have a smoother transition to post-fossil fuels, with significantly less mortality. Since if declines begin soon, and people behave rationally, then we have at least 16 years+ before we effectively run out of meaningful fossil fuel reserves. In Canada for example we have 16 years of natural gas reserves if we use it for domestic consumption only at current rates.

However also of note is that WEF wants people to stop growing their own food in urban areas, because they say it produces more carbon foot print than growing food in rural areas, on the basis of one study, without considering any consequences. However if we consider consequences, we would have to realize that we want people to grow their own food even in urban areas, because every calorie counts, and there is a 5 year learning curve to growing your own food, with the goal being they can apply their knowledge as soon as they are able to own a piece of land big enough for them to feed and house themselves.

There are of course many variables at play, but the main thing is to stay light hearted and with gratitude, having faith that all is well and that all will be well.

As the Confederation of Planets in service to the One Infinite Creator has said: "the future is not fixed. It is liquid. It is a creature of thought, and it will be the fruit of the seeds that you are planting now. It is said in your holy works that others have planted and you have reaped, that which you have planted others shall reap, and this is deeply so. Many are the painful, angry, furious, negative emotions that have been sprayed across this planet by the self to the self. For my friends, that is what the situation truly is. All of you are sparks of one flame. All of you are one thing. You may choose at this time a direction of how to think, and we simply encourage you to focus the mind, the heart and the commitment upon love." (2001/09/16)

May you be blessed,